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Entries in The Road Ahead (18)

Wednesday
Nov092011

Commerce Dept. Report Shows BB Adoption Rises but Digital Divide Persists

Source: NTIA Press Release

The Department of Commerce's Economics and Statistics Administration (ESA) and National Telecommunications and Information Administration (NTIA) released a report, “Exploring the Digital Nation,” that analyzes broadband Internet adoption in the United States.  Overall, approximately seven out of ten households in the United States subscribe to broadband service. The report finds a strong correlation between broadband adoption and socio-economic factors, such as income and education, but says these differences do not explain the entire broadband adoption gap that exists along racial, ethnic, and geographic lines. Even after accounting for socio-economic differences, certain minority and rural households still lag in broadband adoption.

The report analyzes data collected through an Internet Use supplement to the Current Population Survey (CPS) of about 54,300 households conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau in October 2010.  Earlier this year, NTIA released initial findings from the survey, showing that while virtually all demographic groups have increased adoption of broadband Internet at home since the prior year, historic disparities among demographic groups remain. The report presents broadband adoption statistics after adjusting for various socio-economic differences.

The principal findings of the report are:

Overall

  • Sixty-eight percent of American households used broadband Internet in 2010, up from 64 percent in 2009. Only three percent of households relied on dial-up access to the Internet in 2010, down from five percent in 2009. Another nine percent of households had people who accessed the Internet only outside of the home.
  • All told, approximately 80 percent of American households had at least one Internet user, whether inside or outside the home and regardless of technology type used to access the Internet.
  • Cable modems and DSL were the leading broadband technologies for home Internet adoption, with 32 percent and 23 percent of households, respectively, using these services.

Differences in Household Broadband Adoption

  • Households with lower incomes and less education, as well as Blacks, Hispanics, people with disabilities, and rural residents, were less likely to have Internet service at home.
  • Eighty-one percent of Asian households and 72 percent of White households had broadband at home, compared to 57 percent of Hispanic households and 55 percent of Black households.
  • Seventy percent of urban households had broadband at home, compared to 57 percent of rural households. 
  • Households with school-age children were more likely to have broadband at home (78 percent) than the national rate. Older householders, particularly those ages 65 and older (45 percent), were less likely to have broadband at home.
  • Less than half (43 percent) of households with annual incomes below $25,000 had broadband access at home, while 93 percent of households with incomes exceeding $100,000 had broadband.
  • Average broadband adoption in 2010 varied by state from about half (52 percent) of all households to 80 percent. 

Role of Socio-Economic Factors

  • Socio-economic differences do not explain the entire broadband adoption gap. For example, after accounting for socio-economic and geographic factors, Black and Hispanic households still lag White households in broadband adoption by 11 percentage points, though the gap between Asian and White households disappears.
  • After accounting for socio-economic and demographic factors, rural households still lag urban households in broadband adoption by five percentage points.
  • In contrast, differences in socio-economic characteristics do explain a substantial portion but not all of the broadband adoption lag among people with disabilities.

Reasons for Not Subscribing to Broadband at Home

  • The main reasons cited for not having Internet access at home were a lack of interest or need (47 percent), the expense (24 percent), and the lack of an adequate computer (15 percent).
  • Not surprisingly, individuals without broadband service at home relied on locations such as public libraries (20 percent) or other people’s houses (12 percent) to go online.

Long-term Trends in Internet and Computer Use

  • Between 2001 and 2010, broadband Internet use at home, regardless of technology type, rose from 9 percent to  68 percent of households.
  • Between 1997 and 2010, Internet use among households, regardless of technology type, rose from 19 percent to 71 percent.
  • More than three quarters (77 percent) of American households had a computer at home in 2010, up from 62 percent in 2003.

The full report is available at http://www.esa.doc.gov/Reports/exploring-digital-nation-computer-and-internet-use-home

Wednesday
Nov092011

Mobile Data Traffic to Grow 10-Fold Between 2011 and 2016

Source: Ericsson Press Release

In its new Traffic and Market Data report, Ericsson (Nasdaq: ERIC) forecasts a 10-fold increase in mobile data traffic by 2016. The report is based on measurements the company recorded over several years in live networks covering all regions of the world.

According to the report, mobile broadband subscriptions will reach almost 5 billion in 2016, up from the expected 900 million by the end of 2011.That would represent 60 percent year-on-year growth, at the same time as the data consumed by smartphone users is surging. Total smartphone traffic is expected to triple during 2011.

Across all devices, internet access will continue to drive mobile traffic development and mobile data traffic is expected to grow by nearly 60 percent per year between 2011 and 2016, mainly driven by video.

By 2016 more than 30 percent of the world's population will live in metropolitan and urban areas with a density of more than 1,000 people per square kilometer. These areas represent less than 1 percent of the Earth's total land area, yet they are set to generate around 60 percent of total mobile traffic.

Mobile broadband, new smartphone launches and applications uptake will continue to drive data consumption. At the same time, there is strong momentum for smartphone uptake in all regions. Ericsson expects traffic generated by advanced smartphones to increase 12-fold to roughly equal mobile PC-generated traffic by 2016.

To access the full report click here.

Tuesday
Nov082011

ILEC Broadband Connections Will Exceed Access Lines by 2015

Source: The ILEC Advisor

In the final installment of JSI Capital Advisors' Communications Industry Forecast series we examine the overall trends in wired connections for both telcos and cable companies. The bottom line? While we believe cable voice and broadband connections in the aggregate will hold relatively steady over the next decade, total telco voice and broadband connections will fall from nearly 145m at the end of 2010 to around 85m at the end of 2020 as access line use declines rapidly.

Richelle Elberg delves into the details here.

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